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IMD predicts a ‘near normal’ monsoon across country this year

DNMUM434971 | 4/16/2019 | Author : Nikhil M Ghanekar | WC :391 | India



The India Meteorological Department (IMD) in its forecast has predicted that India is likely to have a ‘near normal’ monsoon this year. With global weather phenomenon El Niño bearing down monsoon rainfall, this year it will on the cusp of normal and below normal in the country. The IMD usually does not use the category ‘near normal’. Under this category, the IMD has slotted rainfall between 96-104% of the long-period average, which is 890mm. However, the ‘normal’ category, junked this year is also used for the same 96-104% category.
Quantitatively, monsoon rainfall this year will be 96% of the long period average, which is 890mm, based on 1951-2000 data. The forecast was issued with a model error margin of +/- 5%, IMD said. Even as
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